Australian Rainfall Outlook

The "Sentinel" tree on the Mitchell River, Bairnsdale, Victoria, before and during the June 2007 east coast low flood.

Photos by Charlie Nelson and Malcolm Ross

Australian Rainfall Outlook has been developed by Charlie Nelson, based on statistical analysis which identifies and quantifies the impacts of a range of factors on rainfall.

More articles will be uploaded as they are written.

BoM 1 to 8 day rainfall outlook

BoM ENSO latest



Cycles in Victoria's rainfall and the outlook to 2050 (January 2013)

Perceived likelihood of drought - the wisdom of the masses estimate for 2013

Global rainfall outlook as at March 2012: several years of above average rainfall is predicted.  For more information visit and click the rainfall outlook category.

Predicting Melbourne's wet periods (February 2011)

Can ant behaviour forecast rain?